Upcoming Presentations and Events

Upcoming Events

Our seminars are planned to be held in person unless otherwise indicated.  They will also be live-streamed via Zoom - email [email protected] for a Zoom link. 

Following DC and GW campus policy, masks will be required. 

Campus buildings are locked, so if you are coming in person and do not have an access card, please email [email protected] to RSVP and get building access information.  

September 16-18, 2021: 24th Dynamic Econometrics Conference.  
 
Thursday, September 23, 2021, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Prakash Loungani (IMF/IEO) will present  new work “Herd Immunity? A First Shot at Analyzing Forecast Performance During the COVID-19 Pandemic,” comparing the macroeconomic forecasts for 2020 made by the IMF, World Bank, European Commission and the private sector (Consensus Economics). Over the past two decades, professional forecasters have tended to exhibit herd-like behavior over the course of recessions and crises, preferring the safety of the pack to sticking out with extreme predictions. Did this behavior change in the face of the unprecedented uncertainty of the COVID-19 pandemic? Evidence will be presented on the accuracy of growth and inflation forecasts across different sources during the pandemic, on the magnitude of forecast errors compared to previous recessions, and on the dispersion of forecasts among the private sector. The work is joint with Zidong An (Renmin University), Umberto Collodel (Paris School of Economics & IMF/IEO) and Martin McCarthy (Oxford).
 
Thursday, October 7, 2021, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Claudia Sahm TBA
 
Thursday October 21, 2021, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Francesca Loria (Federal Reserve Board) will present: “Understanding Growth-at-Risk: A Markov-Switching Approach”
 
Virtual only! Thursday October 28, 2021, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Andrew Chang (Federal Reserve Board) will present "Raiders of the Lost High-Frequency Forecasts: New Data and Evidence on the Efficiency of the Fed's Forecasting"
 
November 1-2, 2021 (Virtual): 22nd IWH-CIREQ-GW Macroeconometric Workshop: Environmental MacroeconomicsCall for papers here.  Submission deadline is September 15th.  
 
Thursday November 4, 2021, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Celebration of Herman Stekler's birthday
 
Thursday November 18, 2021, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Andrew Martinez (Treasury) will present Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts
 
Thursday December 2nd, 2021, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Neil R. Ericsson (Federal Reserve Board) will present “Evaluating the Federal Reserve’s Tealbook Forecasts”
 

If you are looking for more virtual economics seminars, check out: https://ideas.repec.org/v/ and https://www.aeaweb.org/resources/online-seminars

 

If you have any suggestions for speakers or for other events, please email [email protected].

Brown Bag Seminar Series on Forecasting


Except for special cases, our seminars will be held on Thursdays from 12:30pm to 2:00pm in the Kendrick Conference Room

Monroe Hall Room 321
2115 G Street NW
Washington, DC 20052

Please watch this site for upcoming events and email [email protected] if you are interested in participating in this seminar.

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