Upcoming Presentations and Events

Unless otherwise indicated, all seminars are open to the public without need for RSVP and are held in the Kedrick Seminar Room:
Monroe Hall Room 321
2115 G Street NW
Washington, DC 20052

 

Upcoming Events

Thursday, September 19, 2019, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Hie Joo Ahn (Federal Reserve) will present Measuring Labor-Force Participation and the Incidence and Duration of Unemployment.  

Thursday, September 26, 2019, 12:30 pm - 2 pm: Troy Davig (Rokos Capital Management)

Thursday, October 10, 2019, 12:30 pm - 2 pm:  Neil Ericsson (FRB) will present Evaluating Government Budget Forecasts (joint with Andrew B. Martinez (Oxford)
Abstract: This paper reviews the literature on the evaluation of government budget forecasts, outlines a generic framework for forecast evaluation, and illustrates forecast evaluation with empirical analyses of different U.S. government agencies' forecasts of U.S. federal debt. Techniques for forecast evaluation include comparison of mean squared forecast errors, forecast encompassing, tests of predictive failure, and tests of bias and efficiency. Recent extensions of these techniques utilize machine learning algorithms to handle more potential regressors than observations, a characteristic common to big data. These techniques are generally applicable, including to forecasts of components of the government budget, to forecasts of budgets from municipal, state, provincial, and national governments, and to other economic and non-economic forecasts. Evaluation of forecasts is fundamental to assessing the forecasts' usefulness; and evaluation can indicate ways in which the forecasts may be improved.

Special event! October 29-30, 2019 20th IWH-CIREQ-GW Macroeconometric Workshop: “Micro Data and Macro Questions” 
Halle (Saale), Germany
 
November 14, 2019: Thomas Dreschel (University of Maryland)
 

Special event! February 21, 2020: Workshop in Honor of Mardi Dungey to be held at the Institute for International Economic Policy
Draft program 
RSVP link 

 

 

 

If you have any suggestions for speakers or for other events, please email [email protected].

 

Brown Bag Seminar Series on Forecasting


Except for special cases, our seminars will be held on Thursdays from 12:30pm to 2:00pm in the Kendrick Conference Room

Monroe Hall Room 321
2115 G Street NW
Washington, DC 20052

Please watch this site for upcoming events and email [email protected] if you are interested in participating in this seminar.

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