Forecasting Our Economic Future
CCAS Dean Wahlbeck spoke with Professor of Economics and International Affairs Tara Sinclair about COVID-19's economic impact and her forecast for what’s to come.
Projects
Special Blog Post by Our Spring 2021 Stekler Fellow
Stekler Fellow Tishya Kahar poses the question, does a wider distribution of forecasts predict negative GDP growth?
Tara M. Sinclair cited in New York Times Piece on COVID's Economic Toll
RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair was quoted by the New York Times in "...
Tara M. Sinclair Becomes Regular Contributor to COVID-19 Economic Outlook Survey
RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair is now a regular contributor to the FiveThirtyEight/IGM COVID-19...
Tara M. Sinclair Quoted in the New York Times About the Coronavirus and Possibility of Recession
RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair was quoted by the New York Times in "Will the Coronavirus Cause a Recession? Keep Your Eye on the Barbershops."
Tara M. Sinclair Speaks About Concerns Over Impending Recession
RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair spoke on Marketplace about the recent drop in concern about an impending recession.
Tara M. Sinclair Speaks to Economists About Possibility of 2020 Recession
RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair spoke at a Society of Government Economists seminar entitled “Probability of the U.S. or World Entering a Recession in 2020.” The seminar was discussed in an...
Prakash Loungani and Tara M. Sinclair Quoted in FiveThirtyEight
RPF member Prakash Loungani and RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair were both quoted by Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux of FiveThirtyEight in Economists are Bad at Predicting Recessions.
Tara M. Sinclair Talks to the New York Times About Potential 2020 Recession
RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair was quoted by Neil Irwin of the New York Times in How the Recession of 2020 Could Happen.
Reuters Highlights RPF's Bank Research
RPF co-director Tara M. Sinclair was interviewed by Jason Lange of Reuters in "A few choice words could lead to better central bank forecasts about research" with Jacob Jones and Herman Stekler (RPF...
Forecasting Presentation Archive
Working Papers
All working papers by the H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting are available on our Working Papers page or through the Research Papers in Economics (RePEc) database.