H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting
Housed in the Center for Economic Research, the H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting supports research, teaching and dissertation supervision as part of the Department of Economics at the George Washington University.
Current research interests of program members include a wide range of studies on the methodology of forecasting and forecast evaluation as well as preparation of macroeconomic and microeconomic forecasts. In addition, program members supervise dissertations that focus on the theory and application of forecasting.
The H.O. Stekler Research Program was named in honor of our renowned former colleague Herman Stekler. The former Research Program on Forecasting was renamed in August 2020 following the establishment of a fund in honor of Stekler.
Upcoming Events
Most seminars are open to the public and held in-person as well as live-streamed, unless otherwise indicated. Email forecasting
gwu [dot] edu (forecasting[at]gwu[dot]edu) for more information.
Our Expertise
Faculty in the H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting have published in some of the top general interest journals as well as leading journals in forecasting, including the American Economic Review, Journal of the American Statistical Association, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Applied Econometrics and Energy Economics. Their work also appears in leading journals in related fields and disciplines (such as macroeconomics and demography), and they regularly present their work at national and international forecasting conferences.
Previously funded research projects include a three-year project on short-run and long-run responses of electricity consumption to climate change and variability for the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. The project was performed in collaboration with scientists at the Johns Hopkins Schools of Engineering and Public Health. Other funds have come from the National Park Service.
The H.O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting also has a partnership with the Federal Forecasters Consortium, an organization of federal employees from all government agencies involved in forecasting. The two groups jointly organize a Seminar Series on Forecasting.
Program Members
Researchers
- Neil R. Ericsson, Director of the Stekler Program, Research Professor of Economics, and member of the Federal Forecasters Consortium Governing Board
- Tara M. Sinclair, Director of the CER, Professor of Economics and International Affairs, and member of the Federal Forecasters Consortium Governing Board
- Natsuki Arai, Assistant Professor, Economics Department in Gettysburg College
- Daniel Bachman, GW Affiliate faculty
- Olga Bespalova, Economist, International Monetary Fund
- Carola Binder, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Texas at Austin, in the School of Civic Leadership.
- Bryan L. Boulier, Professor of Economics, Emeritus
- Michael D. Bradley, Professor of Economics
- Michael Browne, Macroeconomist Consultant, International Finance Corporation
- Constantin Bürgi, Assistant Professor at University College Dublin, Ireland.
- Gary Cornwall, Senior Research Economist, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Adjunct Professor of Economics at GW
- Stein-Erik Fleten, Professor, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Industrial Economics and Technology Management
- Ulrich Fritsche, Professor of Applied Economics, University Hamburg
- Edward N. Gamber, Congressional Budget Office
- Marina Gindelsky, Senior Research Economist, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and member of the Federal Forecasters Consortium Governing Board
- Eiji Goto, Assistant Professor at the University of Missouri–St. Louis
- Amy Guisinger, Associate Professor of Economics, Lafayette College
- Fakhri Hasanov, Research Fellow at King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
- Ullrich Heilemann, Professor (emeritus), Institute for Empirical Economic Research, University of Leipzig, Germany
- Yueqing Jia, Senior Manager, EY
- William Larson, Senior economist at Treasury's Office of Financial Research (OFR).
- Prakash Loungani, Director, Applied Economics Program, Johns Hopkins University
- Jaime Marquez, Senior Lecturer in International Economics, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS)
- Andrew Martinez, Economist in the Office of Economic Policy, U.S. Treasury, and member of the Federal Forecasters Consortium Governing Board
- Renee A. Fry McKibbin, Professor of Economics, Australian National University
- Michael W. McCracken, Research Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
- J. Keith Ord, Emeritus Professor, McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University, Fellow of International Institute of Forecasting, Fellow of the American Statistical Association
- Julio L. Ortiz, Economist, International Finance Division, Federal Reserve Board
- Shahnaz Parsaeian, Assistant Professor of Economics, University of Kansas
- J. James Reade, Lecturer, Department of Economics, University of Reading (UK)
- Jane Ryngaert, Assistant Professor of Economics at the University of Notre Dame
- Xuguang Sheng, Professor, Department of Economics, American University
- Refik Soyer, Professor of Management Science
- Julie K. Smith, Professor of Economics, Lafayette College
- Pao-Lin Tien, Assistant Professor of Economics
- Robert Trost, Professor Emeritus of Economics
- Sjur Westgaard, Associate Professor, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Department of Industrial Economics
- Ben Williams, Associate Professor of Economics
- Anthony M. Yezer, Professor of Economics
- Yongchen (Herbert) Zhao, Associate Professor of Economics, Towson University
Student Members
The H.O. Stekler Program includes undergraduate and graduate student members in our program, and we offer the competitive Stekler Fellowship for students to get involved in our program and gain experience in research on forecasting.
- Matin Safshekan, PhD student and Summer 2025 Stekler Fellow
- Borel NTSAFACK NGUIMFACK, PhD student and Summer 2025 Stekler Fellow
- Jeffrey Kuo, PhD student
- Zhoudan (Zoey) Xie, PhD student
- Kunyao (Richard) Xu, PhD student